PENGARUH INFLASI, NILAI TUKAR, DAN SUKU BUNGA TERHADAP HARGA EMAS DI INDONESIA

KURNIATI, ENI (2018) PENGARUH INFLASI, NILAI TUKAR, DAN SUKU BUNGA TERHADAP HARGA EMAS DI INDONESIA. Skripsi thesis, Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Indonesia Jakarta.

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Abstract

ABSTRAK Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh Inflasi, Nilai Tukar, dan Suku Bunga terhadap Harga Emas di Indonesia. Strategi yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah dengan menggunakan data runtut waktu. Dalam penelitian ini yang menjadi populasi adalah data Inflasi, Nilai Tukar Rupiah terhadap Dolar Amerika, dan Suku Bunga Bank Indonesia selama periode lima tahun mulai dari tahun 2012 - 2016 dalam bentuk data bulanan. Metode analisis data dalam penelitian ini adalah analisis koefisien regresi linear berganda, koefisien determinasi dan pengujian hipotesis. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa: (1) Variabel inflasi berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap harga emas, (2) Variabel Nilai Tukar Rupiah terhadap USD berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap harga emas, (3) Variabel Suku Bunga (BI rate) berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap harga emas, (4) Variabel inflasi, kurs rupiah, dan suku bunga secara simultan berpengaruh terhadap harga emas. Nilai koefisien determinasi (R2 ) dalam penelitian ini sebesar 0,389 yang artinya kemampuan variabel bebas dalam menjelaskan variasi variabel terikat sebesar 38.9% sedangkan sisanya sebesar 61.1% dijelaskan oleh variabel-variabel lain diluar penelitian ini. Kata kunci : Inflasi, Nilai Tukar, Suku Bunga, Harga Emas // ABSTRAK This study aims to determine the effect of Inflation, Exchange Rate, and Interest Rates on the price of gold in Indonesia. The strategy used in this research is to use time series data. In this study, the data of populations are Inflation, Rupiah Exchange Rate to US Dollar, and Interest Rate of Bank Indonesia during the five year period starting from 2012 to 2016 in the form of monthly data. Data analysis method in this research is multiple linear regression coefficient analysis, coefficient of determination and hypothesis testing. The results showed that: (1) Inflation variable has negative and significant effect on gold price, (2) Rupiah Exchange Rate variable to USD has positive and significant influence to gold price, (3) Variable Interest Rate (BI rate) had significant negative on the price of gold, (4) Inflation variable, exchange rate, and interest rate simultaneously affect the gold price. The value of determination coefficient (R2 ) in this research is 0.389 which means the ability of independent variable in explaining variation of dependent variable equal to 38.9% while the rest equal to 61.1% explained by other variables outside this research. Keywords: Inflation, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, Gold Price

Item Type: Thesis (Skripsi)
Contributors:
ContributionContributorsNIDNEmail
Thesis advisorImron, ImronNIDN0312065804imron_hr@stei.ac.id
Subjects: Manajemen > Manajemen Keuangan
Divisions: S1 Manajemen
Depositing User: Mr Miptahudin Almurtado
Date Deposited: 28 Nov 2022 04:22
Last Modified: 28 Nov 2022 04:22
URI: http://repository.stei.ac.id/id/eprint/8932

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